Verification of the Risk Assessment Model through an Expert Judgment
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Expert Judgment in Risk Analysis
Experts are often used to provide uncertainty distributions in risk analyses. They play an importantrole when insufficient data exist for quantification, or when the available data or models are conflicting. Multiplesteps are required in constructing a successful expert judgment process. These steps include selecting andframing the issues, identifying the experts, deciding upon an o...
متن کاملA Bayesian Model for Rare Event Risk Assessment Using Expert Judgment about Paired Scenario Comparisons
When challenged with understanding complex, technological systems, managers often use analysis to characterize risk. Managers use this information to design projects, develop policy, and allocate resources in order to mitigate system risk. This paper presents a Bayesian risk analysis methodology for combining expert judgment with the manager’s prior system knowledge to allow identification of r...
متن کاملA paired comparison experiment for gathering expert judgment for an aircraft wiring risk assessment
Wire failure in aircraft can be attributed to several factors and the assessment of the risk of wire failure is becoming an increasingly important task. This paper will discuss the results of an actual experiment to use the paired-comparison technique for expert judgment to develop a relationship for the probability of wire failure as a function of influencing factors in an aircraft environment...
متن کاملBuilding an Expert-Judgment-Based Model of Mangrove Fisheries
—Mangroves are critically important habitats for fisheries, both for their resident fish, crustacean, and mollusk populations and as nursery grounds for the target species of offshore fisheries. However, the spatial variation in the benefits provided by mangroves to fisheries is poorly understood. Based on expert knowledge of mangrove ecology and fisheries biology, we developed a preliminary mo...
متن کاملassessment of the efficiency of s.p.g.c refineries using network dea
data envelopment analysis (dea) is a powerful tool for measuring relative efficiency of organizational units referred to as decision making units (dmus). in most cases dmus have network structures with internal linking activities. traditional dea models, however, consider dmus as black boxes with no regard to their linking activities and therefore do not provide decision makers with the reasons...
ذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Quality Innovation Prosperity
سال: 2012
ISSN: 1338-984X,1335-1745
DOI: 10.12776/qip.v16i1.60